Probability using binomial distribution. A probability that a manufactured device has 3% or more deffects is p=0.02. If a company buys 5 devices, what is the probability that at least one has 3% or more defects.

Jonas Huff

Jonas Huff

Answered question

2022-11-10

Probability using binomial distribution
A probability that a manufactured device has 3% or more deffects is p = 0.02. If a company buys 5 devices, what is the probability that at least one has 3% or more defects.
I am thinking using binomial distribution to find probabilities that 1, 2, 3, 4 or all 5 devices are defective. So
P ( A ) = ( 5 1 ) p ( 1 p ) 4 + ( 5 2 ) p 2 ( 1 p ) 3 + ( 5 3 ) p 3 ( 1 p ) 2 + ( 5 4 ) p 4 ( 1 p ) + ( 5 5 ) p 5
Is this a correct approach or there is an easier way to solve the problem?

Answer & Explanation

dilettato5t1

dilettato5t1

Beginner2022-11-11Added 25 answers

Step 1
Yes, your approach is correct. An easier way to solve the problem is to use the converse probability.
Step 2
P ( X 1 ) = 1 P ( X = 0 ) = 1 ( 5 0 ) p 0 ( 1 p ) 5 = 1 ( 1 p ) 5

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