Non-geometric way to calculate expected value of breaks?"A bar is broken at random in two...
Elisabeth Esparza
Answered
2022-07-19
Non-geometric way to calculate expected value of breaks? "A bar is broken at random in two places. Find the average size of the smallest, of the middle-sized, and of the largest pieces." The author gives what seems like a complicated geometric way of calculating the probabilities. He arrives at the solutions 1/9, 5/18, and 11/18. Is there a simpler, non-geometric way of calculating these probabilities?
Answer & Explanation
Damarion Pierce
Expert
2022-07-20Added 11 answers
Step 1 Here's a sketch. Pick points . Now let's find the expected value of x given that the interval [0,x] is shortest. That is, we look at the region satisfying You can draw your own pictures. We then get a triangle with , . This triangle has area 1/6 (by inspection) or by double-integration, and so the expected value of x is . Step 2 Next case. Suppose the interval [0,x] has middle length. This corresponds to two regions:
or Interestingly, these both have area 1/12 and for each of these we get . So the expected value of x in the middle case is
Lillie Pittman
Expert
2022-07-21Added 4 answers
Step 1 For the smallest piece indicated by , the expected length is given by
which simplifies to the formula given in the book of 50 challenging problems. Step 2 For the question asked, and calculate the sums for , which we find to be