# A company is marketing a new product they say works better than the traditional test tube. There is so much interest in the product that 30 different labs around the world are testing the claim that this product is actually better. If each study uses an alpha level (alpha) of .10, and if the null hypothesis is true (that the test tube isn't any better that the traditional one), how many of the hypothesis tests would we expect to incorrectly find statistical significance (that is, conclude that the new test tube is better, when it actually isn't)?

Question
Significance tests
A company is marketing a new product they say works better than the traditional test tube. There is so much interest in the product that 30 different labs around the world are testing the claim that this product is actually better. If each study uses an alpha level (alpha) of .10, and if the null hypothesis is true (that the test tube isn't any better that the traditional one), how many of the hypothesis tests would we expect to incorrectly find statistical significance (that is, conclude that the new test tube is better, when it actually isn't)?

2021-01-11
Step 1
When a researcher incorrectly rejects the null hypothesis or incorrectly finds the statistical significance, then this type of error is termed as type 1 error. Type 1 error is the rejection of true null hypothesis.
Step 2
The probability of committing a type I error is represented by our alpha level $$(\alpha)$$, which is the p-value below which we reject the null hypothesis. A p-value of 0.10 indicates that we are willing to accept a 10% chance that we are incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis.
Hence we expect 10% of the hypothesis tests to incorrectly find statistical significance.

### Relevant Questions

A two-sample inference deals with dependent and independent inferences. In a two-sample hypothesis testing problem, underlying parameters of two different populations are compared. In a longitudinal (or follow-up) study, the same group of people is followed over time. Two samples are said to be paired when each data point in the first sample is matched and related to a unique data point in the second sample.
This problem demonstrates inference from two dependent (follow-up) samples using the data from the hypothetical study of new cases of tuberculosis (TB) before and after the vaccination was done in several geographical areas in a country in sub-Saharan Africa. Conclusion about the null hypothesis is to note the difference between samples.
The problem that demonstrates inference from two dependent samples uses hypothetical data from the TB vaccinations and the number of new cases before and after vaccination. PSK\begin{array}{|c|c|} \hline Geographical\ regions & Before\ vaccination & After\ vaccination\\ \hline 1 & 85 & 11\\ \hline 2 & 77 & 5\\ \hline 3 & 110 & 14\\ \hline 4 & 65 & 12\\ \hline 5 & 81 & 10\\\hline 6 & 70 & 7\\ \hline 7 & 74 & 8\\ \hline 8 & 84 & 11\\ \hline 9 & 90 & 9\\ \hline 10 & 95 & 8\\ \hline \end{array}ZSK
Using the Minitab statistical analysis program to enter the data and perform the analysis, complete the following: Construct a one-sided $$\displaystyle{95}\%$$ confidence interval for the true difference in population means. Test the null hypothesis that the population means are identical at the 0.05 level of significance.
Hypothesis Testing Review
For each problem below, simply identify the null and alternative hypotheses. Use appropriate notation/symbols. You do not have to run any hypothesis tests, although it's good practice and I'll post answers for all of them.
1) A simple random sample of 44 men from a normally distributed population results in a standard deviation of 10.7 beats per minute. The normal range of pulse rates of adults is typically given as 60 to 100 beats per minute. If the range rule of thumb is applied to that normal range, the result is a standard deviation of 10 beats per minute. Use the sample results with a 0.10 significance level to test the claim that pulse rates of men have a standard deviation equal to 10 beats per minute.
2) In 1997, a survey of 880 households showed that 145 of them use e-mail. Use those sample results to test the claim that more than 15% of households use e-mail. Use a 0.05 significance level.
Hypothesis Testing Review
For each problem below, simply identify the null and alternative hypotheses. Use appropriate notation/symbols. You do not have to run any hypothesis tests, although it's good practice and I'll post answers for all of them.
1) A simple random sample of 44 men from a normally distributed population results in a standard deviation of 10.7 beats per minute. The normal range of pulse rates of adults is typically given as 60 to 100 beats per minute. If the range rule of thumb is applied to that normal range, the result is a standard deviation of 10 beats per minute. Use the sample results with a 0.10 significance level to test the claim that pulse rates of men have a standard deviation equal to 10 beats per minute.
2) In 1997, a survey of 880 households showed that 145 of them use e-mail. Use those sample results to test the claim that more than 15% of households use e-mail. Use a 0.05 significance level.
factor in determining the usefulness of an examination as a measure of demonstrated ability is the amount of spread that occurs in the grades. If the spread or variation of examination scores is very small, it usually means that the examination was either too hard or too easy. However, if the variance of scores is moderately large, then there is a definite difference in scores between "better," "average," and "poorer" students. A group of attorneys in a Midwest state has been given the task of making up this year's bar examination for the state. The examination has 500 total possible points, and from the history of past examinations, it is known that a standard deviation of around 60 points is desirable. Of course, too large or too small a standard deviation is not good. The attorneys want to test their examination to see how good it is. A preliminary version of the examination (with slight modifications to protect the integrity of the real examination) is given to a random sample of 20 newly graduated law students. Their scores give a sample standard deviation of 70 points. Using a 0.01 level of significance, test the claim that the population standard deviation for the new examination is 60 against the claim that the population standard deviation is different from 60.
(a) What is the level of significance?
State the null and alternate hypotheses.
$$H_{0}:\sigma=60,\ H_{1}:\sigma\ <\ 60H_{0}:\sigma\ >\ 60,\ H_{1}:\sigma=60H_{0}:\sigma=60,\ H_{1}:\sigma\ >\ 60H_{0}:\sigma=60,\ H_{1}:\sigma\ \neq\ 60$$
(b) Find the value of the chi-square statistic for the sample. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
What are the degrees of freedom?
What assumptions are you making about the original distribution?
We assume a binomial population distribution.We assume a exponential population distribution. We assume a normal population distribution.We assume a uniform population distribution.
A new thermostat has been engineered for the frozen food cases in large supermarkets. Both the old and new thermostats hold temperatures at an average of $$25^{\circ}F$$. However, it is hoped that the new thermostat might be more dependable in the sense that it will hold temperatures closer to $$25^{\circ}F$$. One frozen food case was equipped with the new thermostat, and a random sample of 21 temperature readings gave a sample variance of 5.1. Another similar frozen food case was equipped with the old thermostat, and a random sample of 19 temperature readings gave a sample variance of 12.8. Test the claim that the population variance of the old thermostat temperature readings is larger than that for the new thermostat. Use a $$5\%$$ level of significance. How could your test conclusion relate to the question regarding the dependability of the temperature readings? (Let population 1 refer to data from the old thermostat.)
(a) What is the level of significance?
State the null and alternate hypotheses.
$$H0:?_{1}^{2}=?_{2}^{2},H1:?_{1}^{2}>?_{2}^{2}H0:?_{1}^{2}=?_{2}^{2},H1:?_{1}^{2}\neq?_{2}^{2}H0:?_{1}^{2}=?_{2}^{2},H1:?_{1}^{2}?_{2}^{2},H1:?_{1}^{2}=?_{2}^{2}$$
(b) Find the value of the sample F statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
What are the degrees of freedom?
$$df_{N} = ?$$
$$df_{D} = ?$$
What assumptions are you making about the original distribution?
The populations follow independent normal distributions. We have random samples from each population.The populations follow dependent normal distributions. We have random samples from each population.The populations follow independent normal distributions.The populations follow independent chi-square distributions. We have random samples from each population.
(c) Find or estimate the P-value of the sample test statistic. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis?
At the ? = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.At the ? = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant. At the ? = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.At the ? = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.
(e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application.
Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that the population variance is larger in the old thermostat temperature readings.Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that the population variance is larger in the old thermostat temperature readings. Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that the population variance is larger in the old thermostat temperature readings.Reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that the population variance is larger in the old thermostat temperature readings.
1. Find each of the requested values for a population with a mean of $$? = 40$$, and a standard deviation of $$? = 8$$ A. What is the z-score corresponding to $$X = 52?$$ B. What is the X value corresponding to $$z = - 0.50?$$ C. If all of the scores in the population are transformed into z-scores, what will be the values for the mean and standard deviation for the complete set of z-scores? D. What is the z-score corresponding to a sample mean of $$M=42$$ for a sample of $$n = 4$$ scores? E. What is the z-scores corresponding to a sample mean of $$M= 42$$ for a sample of $$n = 6$$ scores? 2. True or false: a. All normal distributions are symmetrical b. All normal distributions have a mean of 1.0 c. All normal distributions have a standard deviation of 1.0 d. The total area under the curve of all normal distributions is equal to 1 3. Interpret the location, direction, and distance (near or far) of the following zscores: $$a. -2.00 b. 1.25 c. 3.50 d. -0.34$$ 4. You are part of a trivia team and have tracked your team’s performance since you started playing, so you know that your scores are normally distributed with $$\mu = 78$$ and $$\sigma = 12$$. Recently, a new person joined the team, and you think the scores have gotten better. Use hypothesis testing to see if the average score has improved based on the following 8 weeks’ worth of score data: $$82, 74, 62, 68, 79, 94, 90, 81, 80$$. 5. You get hired as a server at a local restaurant, and the manager tells you that servers’ tips are $42 on average but vary about $$12 (\mu = 42, \sigma = 12)$$. You decide to track your tips to see if you make a different amount, but because this is your first job as a server, you don’t know if you will make more or less in tips. After working 16 shifts, you find that your average nightly amount is$44.50 from tips. Test for a difference between this value and the population mean at the $$\alpha = 0.05$$ level of significance.
In there a relationship between confidence intervals and two-tailed hypothesis tests? The answer is yes. Let c be the level of confidence used to construct a confidence interval from sample data. Let * be the level of significance for a two-tailed hypothesis test. The following statement applies to hypothesis tests of the mean: For a two-tailed hypothesis test with level of significance a and null hypothesis H_0 : mu = k we reject Ho whenever k falls outside the c = 1 — alpha confidence interval for mu based on the sample data. When A falls within the c = 1 — alpha confidence interval. we do reject H_0. For a one-tailed hypothesis test with level of significance Ho : mu = k and null hypothesiswe reject Ho whenever A falls outsidethe c = 1 — 2alpha confidence interval for p based on the sample data. When A falls within thec = 1 — 2alpha confidence interval, we do not reject H_0. A corresponding relationship between confidence intervals and two-tailed hypothesis tests is also valid for other parameters, such as p,mu1 — mu_2, and p_1, - p_2. (b) Consider the hypotheses H_0 : p_1 — p_2 = O and H_1 : p_1 — p_2 != Suppose a 98% confidence interval for p_1 — p_2 contains only positive numbers. Should you reject the null hypothesis when alpha = 0.05? Why or why not?
In there a relationship between confidence intervals and two-tailed hypothesis tests? The answer is yes. Let c be the level of confidence used to construct a confidence interval from sample data. Let * be the level of significance for a two-tailed hypothesis test. The following statement applies to hypothesis tests of the mean:
For a two-tailed hypothesis test with level of significance a and null hypothesis $$H_{0} : \mu = k$$ we reject Ho whenever k falls outside the $$c = 1 — \alpha$$ confidence interval for $$\mu$$ based on the sample data. When A falls within the $$c = 1 — \alpha$$ confidence interval. we do reject $$H_{0}$$.
For a one-tailed hypothesis test with level of significance Ho : $$\mu = k$$ and null hypothesiswe reject Ho whenever A falls outsidethe $$c = 1 — 2\alpha$$ confidence interval for p based on the sample data. When A falls within the $$c = 1 — 2\alpha$$ confidence interval, we do not reject $$H_{0}$$.
A corresponding relationship between confidence intervals and two-tailed hypothesis tests is also valid for other parameters, such as p, $$\mu1 — \mu_2,\ and\ p_{1}, - p_{2}$$.
(a) Consider the hypotheses $$H_{0} : \mu_{1} — \mu_{2} = O\ and\ H_{1} : \mu_{1} — \mu_{2} \neq$$ Suppose a 95% confidence interval for $$\mu_{1} — \mu_{2}$$ contains only positive numbers. Should you reject the null hypothesis when $$\alpha = 0.05$$? Why or why not?