The table gives the midyear population of Japan, in thousands, from 1960 to 2010.

Albarellak

Albarellak

Answered question

2021-01-31

The table gives the midyear population of Japan, in thousands, from 1960 to 2010.
YearPopulation196094.092196598.8831970104.3451975111.5731980116.8071985120.7541990123.5371995125.3272000126.7762005127.7152010127.579
Use a calculator to fit both an exponential function and a logistic function to these data. Graph the data points and both functions, and comment on the accuracy of the models. [Hint: Subtract 94,000 from each of the population figures. Then, after obtaining a model from your calculator, add 94,000 to get your final model. It might be helpful to choose t=0 to correspond to 1960 or 1980.]

Answer & Explanation

cheekabooy

cheekabooy

Skilled2021-02-01Added 83 answers

Step 1
Following the suggestions given by the problem, let
t= the number of years after 1960 (so t=0 is 1960)
enter the population numbers with 94000 subtracted from each.
Using Desmos, first add a table. (clic on "+" at the upper left) and enter the numbers. It should look something like in this image:
Step 2
x1y10940929400059888394000101043459400015111573940002011680794000251207549400030123537940003512532794000401267769400045127715940005012757994000
y1  abx1
R2=0.7692 e1
a=10665.3 b=1.02682
Step 3
Next, you can get an exponential form y=abx by typing in the next box below the one with the table:
y1   a bx1
The values for a and b appear below. It should look similar to what is the lower right in the image above. Desmos gives a different answer than the book's. (Compare it in the graph at the bottom). The model with the proper variable names and shifted back up by 94000 would be:
P(t)=10665.3(1.02682)t + 94000
Step 4
Next in another box below, type this to get a logistic model:
y1  /M  1 + A ekx1
y1  abx1
PR2=0.7692 e1
a=10665.3 b=1.02682
y1  M1 + Aekx1
R2=0.9927 e2
M=33086.4 A=12.3428
k=0.165732
Step 5
This time it does given an answer similar to the book's. Using the right variables and shifting back up by 94000, we have:
P(t)=33086.41 + 12.3428e0.165732t + 94000
Step 6
Using GeoGebra 5 and entering the same numbers in as a list of points, the command FitExp does give the same answer as the book. (shifted it back up by 94000 here)
P(t)=1909.7761e0.07655t + 94000
=1909.7761(e0.07655t)+94000
=1909.7761(1.0796)t + 94000
Step 7
The logistic model is better than the exponential. The Desmos one seems to stay closer to the points overall than the other exponential one.
image

Do you have a similar question?

Recalculate according to your conditions!

Ask your question.
Get an expert answer.

Let our experts help you. Answer in as fast as 15 minutes.

Didn't find what you were looking for?