A system for a random amount of time

Michelle Loh

Michelle Loh

Answered question

2022-05-15

A system for a random amount of time X (in units of months) is given by a density ;

f(x) = 14xe-x2 ; x > 0              0; x0

(a) Find the moment generating function of X . Hence, compute the variance of X . 

(b) Deduce the expression for the k th moment. 

(c)Obtain the distribution function of X . Hence, compute that the probability that, 7 of such system, at least 4 will function for at least 6 units of months. State the assumptions that you make. 

Answer & Explanation

Mr Solver

Mr Solver

Skilled2023-05-14Added 147 answers

To solve the given problem, we'll follow these steps:
(a) Find the moment generating function (MGF) of X and compute the variance of X.
The moment generating function (MGF) of a random variable X is defined as the expected value of e^(tX), where t is a real parameter. It can be represented as:
MX(t)=E[etX]
To find the MGF of X, we need to calculate the expected value of e^(tX) using the given density function.
MX(t)=E[etX]=etxf(x)dx
However, the given density function f(x) is only defined for x > 0. Therefore, we can rewrite the integral as follows:
MX(t)=0etx(14xex2)dx
MX(t)=140e(t12)xxdx
Now, let's evaluate this integral. We'll use a property of the exponential integral, which states that:
0esxxdx=ln(s),for s>0
Comparing this with our integral, we can see that the exponent inside the integral matches the form of the exponential integral property. Therefore, we can substitute s = t - 1/2 into the property:
MX(t)=14ln(t12)
This is the moment generating function (MGF) of X.
To compute the variance of X, we need to differentiate the MGF twice with respect to t and evaluate it at t = 0. The variance can be found using the following formula:
Var(X)=MX(0)[MX(0)]2
Let's differentiate M_X(t) with respect to t:
MX(t)=14(t12)
Now, differentiate M_X'(t) with respect to t:
MX(t)=14(t12)2
Substituting t = 0 into these derivatives:
MX(0)=14(012)=12
MX(0)=14(012)2=2
Finally, we can compute the variance of X:
Var(X)=MX(0)[MX(0)]2=2(12)2=214=94

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