A t - distribution's convergence to a Normal

Sanaa Roman

Sanaa Roman

Answered question

2022-03-15

A t - distribution's convergence to a Normal distribution
I'm currently messing around with confidence intervals and I can't really understand how a t distribution converges to a normal distribution for large n.
For example, suppose we want to construct a 95% confidence interval when we have a sample mean X=74.8 and sample variance S=1.23 with n=143.
I would construct the confidence interval using,
(Xz1α2Sn,X+z1α2Sn)
since n>30. If n<30 I would have used a t-distribution.
My question is why does the t - distribution approach a normal distribution for relatively large n?

Answer & Explanation

Luis Melton

Luis Melton

Beginner2022-03-16Added 2 answers

The t distribution arises because you estimate the population standard deviation σ by the sample standard deviation S. For smaller n, there is some significant chance that S is quite a bit smaller than σ; thus for fixed c and n, there is significant probability that X is within cσ of μ and not within cS of μ. (The reverse is possible too, but less likely.) But for large n, S is essentially guaranteed to be very close to σ, because it is an asymptotically consistent estimator for σ. And of course, if S is close to σ,X being within cσ and being within cS of μ are nearly equivalent.
Note that strictly speaking you should always use the t distribution for confidence intervals from a normally distributed population with unknown standard deviation. It is just negligibly different from the same interval constructed with the normal distribution if n is large enough. How large n needs to be really depends on how small a difference can be treated as negligible.
fodlonwyrgxc

fodlonwyrgxc

Beginner2022-03-17Added 4 answers

Step 1
Suppose

X 1 , , X n i . i . d . N ( μ , σ 2 ) .

Let X=dX1++Xnn.
Let S2=d1n1((X1X)2++(XnX)2).
Step 2
Then dXμσnN(0,1) and dXμSntn1. The second one has S where the first has σ. If n is large then the probability that S is close to σ is large, so these two random variables are nearly the same.

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