5 coins are put in a bag. 3 of the coins are weighted with the probabi

Schwelliney

Schwelliney

Answered question

2021-11-14

5 coins are put in a bag. 3 of the coins are weighted with the probability of flipping heads being three times as great than the probability of flipping tails; the remaining coins are fair. One of these coins is selected at random and then flipped once. What is the probability that a weighted coin was selected given that heads was flipped? Write the answer as a fraction.

Answer & Explanation

Alicia Washington

Alicia Washington

Beginner2021-11-15Added 23 answers

Step 1 
Given: 
Total number of coins is, N=5
Number of unfair coins is, n(u)=3
Number of fair coins is, n(f)=2
Finding the likelihood that a weighted coin was chosen, provided that heads was flipped, is the goal.
Step 2 
The probability of flipping a fair coin is, P(f)=25
The probability of flipping a head in a fair coin is, P(fh)=12
The probability of flipping a weighted unfair coin is, P(u)=35
Given that there is a three-fold greater chance of getting heads when flipping weighted coins than tails, it stands to reason that this is the case.
Then, the probability of flipping head in a weighted unfair coin is, P(uh)=34
Step 3 
Now, the probability of flipping heads by selecting one coin from the bag can be calculated as, 
P(h)=P(ffh)+P(uuh) 
=2512+3534 
=210+920 
=130200 
=1320 
Step 4 
Once heads was flipped, the likelihood that a weighted coin was chosen could be calculated as
P(uh)=P(uh)P(h) 
=35341320 
=9201320 
=913 
Therefore, the probability that a weighted coin was selected given that heads was flipped is 913.

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