# A catalog sales company promises to deliver orders placed on the Internet within 3 days. Follow-up calls to a few randomly selected customers show that a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of all orders that arrive on time is 88 a) What does this mean? Are these conclusions correct? Explain. b) 95% of all random samples of customers will show that 88% of orders arrive on time. c) 95% of all random samples of customers will show that 82% to 94% of orders arrive on time. d) We are 95% sure that between 82% and 94% of the orders placed by the sampled customers arrived on time. e) On 95% of the days, between 82% and 94% of the orders will arrive on time.

Question
Confidence intervals
A catalog sales company promises to deliver orders placed on the Internet within 3 days. Follow-up calls to a few randomly selected customers show that a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of all orders that arrive on time is 88
a) What does this mean? Are these conclusions correct? Explain.
b) 95% of all random samples of customers will show that 88% of orders arrive on time.
c) 95% of all random samples of customers will show that 82% to 94% of orders arrive on time.
d) We are 95% sure that between 82% and 94% of the orders placed by the sampled customers arrived on time.
e) On 95% of the days, between 82% and 94% of the orders will arrive on time.

2020-12-17
a) Incorrect. This implies certainty.
b) Incorrect. Different samples will give different results. Many fewer than 95% will have 88% on-time orders.
c) Incorrect. The interval is about the population proportion, not the sample proportion in different samples.
d) Incorrect. In this sample, we know 88% arrived on time
e) Incorrect. The interval is about the parameter, not about the days.

### Relevant Questions

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(a) What is thedensity for X? Sketch a graph of the density function. Indicate onthis graph the probability that X lies between 1.1 and 1.9. Findthis probability.
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(e) What is the moment generating function for X?
The presidential election is coming. Five survey companies (A, B, C, D, and E) are doing survey to forecast whether or not the Republican candidate will win the election. Each company randomly selects a sample size between 1000 and 1500 people. All of these five companies interview people over the phone during Tuesday and Wednesday. The interviewee will be asked if he or she is 18 years old or above and U.S. citizen who are registered to vote. If yes, the interviewee will be further asked: will you vote for the Republican candidate? On Thursday morning, these five companies announce their survey sample and results at the same time on the newspapers. The results show that a% (from A), b% (from B), c% (from C), d% (from D), and e% (from E) will support the Republican candidate. The margin of error is plus/minus 3% for all results. Suppose that $$\displaystyle{c}{>}{a}{>}{d}{>}{e}{>}{b}$$. When you see these results from the newspapers, can you exactly identify which result(s) is (are) not reliable and not accurate? That is, can you identify which estimation interval(s) does (do) not include the true population proportion? If you can, explain why you can, if no, explain why you cannot and what information you need to identify. Discuss and explain your reasons. You must provide your statistical analysis and reasons.
A manager at ACME Equipment Sale and Rental wondered how offering a free two-year service warranty on its tractors might influence sales. For the next 500 customers who expressed interest in buying a tractor, 250 were randomly offered a warranty, and the rest did not receive. Ninety-three of those offering a warranty, and fifty-four of those not offering a warranty ended up buying a tractor.
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b. Describe what new forwarding paths are needed for the rearranged pipeline by stating the source, destination, and information transferred on each needed new path.
c. For the reordered stages of the RISC pipeline, what new data hazards are created by this addressing mode? Give an instruction sequence illustrating each new hazard.
d. List all of the ways that the RISC pipeline with register-memory ALU operations can have a different instruction count for a given program than the original RISC pipeline. Give a pair of specific instruction sequences, one for the original pipeline and one for the rearranged pipeline, to illustrate each way.
Hint for (d): Give a pair of instruction sequences where the RISC pipeline has “more” instructions than the reg-mem architecture. Also give a pair of instruction sequences where the RISC pipeline has “fewer” instructions than the reg-mem architecture.
1. A researcher is interested in finding a 98% confidence interval for the mean number of times per day that college students text. The study included 144 students who averaged 44.7 texts per day. The standard deviation was 16.5 texts. a. To compute the confidence interval use a ? z t distribution. b. With 98% confidence the population mean number of texts per day is between and texts. c. If many groups of 144 randomly selected members are studied, then a different confidence interval would be produced from each group. About percent of these confidence intervals will contain the true population number of texts per day and about percent will not contain the true population mean number of texts per day. 2. You want to obtain a sample to estimate how much parents spend on their kids birthday parties. Based on previous study, you believe the population standard deviation is approximately $$\displaystyle\sigma={40.4}$$ dollars. You would like to be 90% confident that your estimate is within 1.5 dollar(s) of average spending on the birthday parties. How many parents do you have to sample? n = 3. You want to obtain a sample to estimate a population mean. Based on previous evidence, you believe the population standard deviation is approximately $$\displaystyle\sigma={57.5}$$. You would like to be 95% confident that your estimate is within 0.1 of the true population mean. How large of a sample size is required?
A 2.4-kg object is attached to a horizontal spring of forceconstant k=4.5 kN/m. The spring is stretched 10 cm fromequilibrium and released. Find (a) the frequency of themotion, (b) the period, (c) the amplitude, (d) the maximum speed,and (e) the maximum acceleration. (f) When does the objectfirst reach its equilibrium position? What is itsacceleration at this time?
Two identical blocks placed one on top of the other rest on africtionless horizontal air track. The lower block isattached to a spring of spring constant k= 600 N/m. Whendisplaced slightly from its equilibrium position, the systemoscillates with a frequency of 1.8 Hz. When the amplitude ofoscillation exceeds 5 cm, the upper block starts to slide relativeto the lower one. (a) What are the masses of the twoblocks? (b) What is the coefficient of static frictionbetween the two blocks?
The owner of a large equipment rental company wants to make a rather quick estimate of the average number of days a piece of ditch-digging equipment is rented out per person per time. The company has records of all rentals, but the amount of time required to conduct an audit of all accounts would be prohibitive. The owner decides to take a random sample of rental invoices. Fourteen different rentals of ditch-diggers are selected randomly from the files, yielding the following data. She wants to use these data to construct a $$99\%$$ confidence interval to estimate the average number of days that a ditch-digger is rented and assumes that the number of days per rental is normally distributed in the population. Use only the appropriate formula and/or statistical table in your textbook to answer this question. Report your answer to 2 decimal places, using conventional rounding rules.
DATA: 3 1 3 2 5 1 2 1 4 2 1 3 1 1
You are interested in finding a 95% confidence interval for the mean number of visits for physical therapy patients. The data below show the number of visits for 14 randomly selected physical therapy patients. Round answers to 3 decimal places where possible.
$$9 6 10 15 19 6 23 26 19 16 11 25 16 11$$
a. To compute the confidence interval use a t or z distribution.
b. With 95% confidence the population mean number of visits per physical therapy patient is between ___ and ___ visits.
c. If many groups of 14 randomly selected physical therapy patients are studied, then a different confidence interval would be produced from each group. About ___ percent of these confidence intervals will contain the true population mean number of visits per patient and about ___ percent will not contain the true population mean number of visits per patient.
Suppose that a random sample of 50 bottles of a particular brand of cough syrup is selected and the alcohol content of each bottle is determined. Let j: denote the average alcohol content for the population of all bottles of the brand under study. Suppose that the resulting 95% confidence intervals (7-8, 9.6)
(a) Would 2 90%% confidence interval calculated from this same sample have been narrower or wider than the glven interval? Explain your reasoning.
(b) Consider the following statement: There is 9 95% chance that Is between 7.8 and 9.6. Is this statement correct? Why or why not?
(c) Consider the following statement: We can be highly confident that 95% of al bottles ofthis type of cough syrup have an alcohol content that is between 7.8 and 9.6. Is this statement correct? Why or why not?
The table below shows the number of people for three different race groups who were shot by police that were either armed or unarmed. These values are very close to the exact numbers. They have been changed slightly for each student to get a unique problem.
Suspect was Armed:
Black - 543
White - 1176
Hispanic - 378
Total - 2097
Suspect was unarmed:
Black - 60
White - 67
Hispanic - 38
Total - 165
Total:
Black - 603
White - 1243
Hispanic - 416
Total - 2262
Give your answer as a decimal to at least three decimal places.
a) What percent are Black?
b) What percent are Unarmed?
c) In order for two variables to be Independent of each other, the P $$(A and B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) P(A and B) = P(A) \cdot P(B).$$
This just means that the percentage of times that both things happen equals the individual percentages multiplied together (Only if they are Independent of each other).
Therefore, if a person's race is independent of whether they were killed being unarmed then the percentage of black people that are killed while being unarmed should equal the percentage of blacks times the percentage of Unarmed. Let's check this. Multiply your answer to part a (percentage of blacks) by your answer to part b (percentage of unarmed).
Remember, the previous answer is only correct if the variables are Independent.
d) Now let's get the real percent that are Black and Unarmed by using the table?
If answer c is "significantly different" than answer d, then that means that there could be a different percentage of unarmed people being shot based on race. We will check this out later in the course.
Let's compare the percentage of unarmed shot for each race.
e) What percent are White and Unarmed?
f) What percent are Hispanic and Unarmed?
If you compare answers d, e and f it shows the highest percentage of unarmed people being shot is most likely white.
Why is that?
This is because there are more white people in the United States than any other race and therefore there are likely to be more white people in the table. Since there are more white people in the table, there most likely would be more white and unarmed people shot by police than any other race. This pulls the percentage of white and unarmed up. In addition, there most likely would be more white and armed shot by police. All the percentages for white people would be higher, because there are more white people. For example, the table contains very few Hispanic people, and the percentage of people in the table that were Hispanic and unarmed is the lowest percentage.
Think of it this way. If you went to a college that was 90% female and 10% male, then females would most likely have the highest percentage of A grades. They would also most likely have the highest percentage of B, C, D and F grades
The correct way to compare is "conditional probability". Conditional probability is getting the probability of something happening, given we are dealing with just the people in a particular group.
g) What percent of blacks shot and killed by police were unarmed?
h) What percent of whites shot and killed by police were unarmed?
i) What percent of Hispanics shot and killed by police were unarmed?
You can see by the answers to part g and h, that the percentage of blacks that were unarmed and killed by police is approximately twice that of whites that were unarmed and killed by police.
j) Why do you believe this is happening?
Do a search on the internet for reasons why blacks are more likely to be killed by police. Read a few articles on the topic. Write your response using the articles as references. Give the websites used in your response. Your answer should be several sentences long with at least one website listed. This part of this problem will be graded after the due date.
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