# (a) The company's production equipment produces metal discs weighing 200 g. It should be noted that the weight of the discs corresponds to the normal distribution. To check machine consistency, 20 discs are randomly selected with an average weight of 205 g and a standard deviation of 7 g. What is the 99% confidence interval for the average weight of the selected discs? (b) A company launched a new model of golf ball. It claimed that the driving distance is at least 300m. A sample of 20 balls yields a sample mean of 295m and sample standard deviation of 8m. It is assumed that the driving distance is normally distributed. Conduct an appropriate hypothesis testing at the 0.05 level of significance. Is there any evidence that the average travel distance stated by the company is true?

Question
Confidence intervals
(a) The company's production equipment produces metal discs weighing 200 g. It should be noted that the weight of the discs corresponds to the normal distribution. To check machine consistency, 20 discs are randomly selected with an average weight of 205 g and a standard deviation of 7 g. What is the 99% confidence interval for the average weight of the selected discs?
(b) A company launched a new model of golf ball. It claimed that the driving distance is at least 300m. A sample of 20 balls yields a sample mean of 295m and sample standard deviation of 8m. It is assumed that the driving distance is normally distributed.
Conduct an appropriate hypothesis testing at the 0.05 level of significance. Is there any evidence that the average travel distance stated by the company is true?

2020-11-13

a)
The formula for estimation is:
$$\displaystyle\mu={M}\pm{Z}{\left({s}_{{M}}\right)}where:$$
$$\displaystyle{M}=$$ sample mean
$$\displaystyle{Z}={Z}$$ statistic determined by confidence level
$$\displaystyle{s}_{{M}}=\text{standard error}=\sqrt{{{\left({s}^{2}\text{/}{n}\right)}}}$$
Step 2
Calculation
$$\displaystyle{M}={205}$$
$$\displaystyle{Z}={2.58}$$
$$\displaystyle{s}_{{M}}=\sqrt{{{\left({7}^{2}\text{/}{20}\right)}}}={1.57}$$
$$\displaystyle\mu={M}\pm{Z}{\left({s}_{{M}}\right)}$$
$$\displaystyle\mu={205}\pm{2.58}\cdot{1.57}$$
$$\displaystyle\mu={205}\pm{4.03}$$
Result
$$\displaystyle{M}={205},{99}\%{C}{I}{\left[{200.97},{209.03}\right]}$$
Part b
Z Score Calculations
$$\displaystyle{Z}={\left({M}-\mu\right)}\text{/}\sqrt{{{\left(\sigma^{2}\text{/}{n}\right)}}}$$
$$\displaystyle{Z}={\left({295}-{300}\right)}\text{/}\sqrt{{{\left({8}\text{/}{20}\right)}}}$$
$$\displaystyle{Z}=-{5}\text{/}{0.63246}$$
$$\displaystyle{Z}=-{7.90569}$$
The value of z is -7.90569. The value of p is $$\displaystyle<{.00001}$$. The result is significant at p $$\displaystyle<{.05}$$

### Relevant Questions

A random sample of $$n_1 = 14$$ winter days in Denver gave a sample mean pollution index $$x_1 = 43$$.
Previous studies show that $$\sigma_1 = 19$$.
For Englewood (a suburb of Denver), a random sample of $$n_2 = 12$$ winter days gave a sample mean pollution index of $$x_2 = 37$$.
Previous studies show that $$\sigma_2 = 13$$.
Assume the pollution index is normally distributed in both Englewood and Denver.
(a) State the null and alternate hypotheses.
$$H_0:\mu_1=\mu_2.\mu_1>\mu_2$$
$$H_0:\mu_1<\mu_2.\mu_1=\mu_2$$
$$H_0:\mu_1=\mu_2.\mu_1<\mu_2$$
$$H_0:\mu_1=\mu_2.\mu_1\neq\mu_2$$
(b) What sampling distribution will you use? What assumptions are you making? NKS The Student's t. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with known standard deviations.
The standard normal. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with unknown standard deviations.
The standard normal. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with known standard deviations.
The Student's t. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with unknown standard deviations.
(c) What is the value of the sample test statistic? Compute the corresponding z or t value as appropriate.
(Test the difference $$\mu_1 - \mu_2$$. Round your answer to two decimal places.) NKS (d) Find (or estimate) the P-value. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
(e) Based on your answers in parts (i)−(iii), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Are the data statistically significant at level \alpha?
At the $$\alpha = 0.01$$ level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.
At the $$\alpha = 0.01$$ level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.
At the $$\alpha = 0.01$$ level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.
At the $$\alpha = 0.01$$ level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.
(f) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application.
Reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that there is a difference in mean pollution index for Englewood and Denver.
Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that there is a difference in mean pollution index for Englewood and Denver.
Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that there is a difference in mean pollution index for Englewood and Denver.
Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that there is a difference in mean pollution index for Englewood and Denver. (g) Find a 99% confidence interval for
$$\mu_1 - \mu_2$$.
lower limit
upper limit
(h) Explain the meaning of the confidence interval in the context of the problem.
Because the interval contains only positive numbers, this indicates that at the 99% confidence level, the mean population pollution index for Englewood is greater than that of Denver.
Because the interval contains both positive and negative numbers, this indicates that at the 99% confidence level, we can not say that the mean population pollution index for Englewood is different than that of Denver.
Because the interval contains both positive and negative numbers, this indicates that at the 99% confidence level, the mean population pollution index for Englewood is greater than that of Denver.
Because the interval contains only negative numbers, this indicates that at the 99% confidence level, the mean population pollution index for Englewood is less than that of Denver.
1. Find each of the requested values for a population with a mean of $$? = 40$$, and a standard deviation of $$? = 8$$ A. What is the z-score corresponding to $$X = 52?$$ B. What is the X value corresponding to $$z = - 0.50?$$ C. If all of the scores in the population are transformed into z-scores, what will be the values for the mean and standard deviation for the complete set of z-scores? D. What is the z-score corresponding to a sample mean of $$M=42$$ for a sample of $$n = 4$$ scores? E. What is the z-scores corresponding to a sample mean of $$M= 42$$ for a sample of $$n = 6$$ scores? 2. True or false: a. All normal distributions are symmetrical b. All normal distributions have a mean of 1.0 c. All normal distributions have a standard deviation of 1.0 d. The total area under the curve of all normal distributions is equal to 1 3. Interpret the location, direction, and distance (near or far) of the following zscores: $$a. -2.00 b. 1.25 c. 3.50 d. -0.34$$ 4. You are part of a trivia team and have tracked your team’s performance since you started playing, so you know that your scores are normally distributed with $$\mu = 78$$ and $$\sigma = 12$$. Recently, a new person joined the team, and you think the scores have gotten better. Use hypothesis testing to see if the average score has improved based on the following 8 weeks’ worth of score data: $$82, 74, 62, 68, 79, 94, 90, 81, 80$$. 5. You get hired as a server at a local restaurant, and the manager tells you that servers’ tips are $42 on average but vary about $$12 (\mu = 42, \sigma = 12)$$. You decide to track your tips to see if you make a different amount, but because this is your first job as a server, you don’t know if you will make more or less in tips. After working 16 shifts, you find that your average nightly amount is$44.50 from tips. Test for a difference between this value and the population mean at the $$\alpha = 0.05$$ level of significance.
The owner of a large equipment rental company wants to make a rather quick estimate of the average number of days a piece of ditch-digging equipment is rented out per person per time. The company has records of all rentals, but the amount of time required to conduct an audit of all accounts would be prohibitive. The owner decides to take a random sample of rental invoices. Fourteen different rentals of ditch-diggers are selected randomly from the files, yielding the following data. She wants to use these data to construct a $$99\%$$ confidence interval to estimate the average number of days that a ditch-digger is rented and assumes that the number of days per rental is normally distributed in the population. Use only the appropriate formula and/or statistical table in your textbook to answer this question. Report your answer to 2 decimal places, using conventional rounding rules.
DATA: 3 1 3 2 5 1 2 1 4 2 1 3 1 1
A quarterback claims that he can throw the football ahorizontal distance of 183 m (200 yd). Furthermore, he claims thathe can do this by launching the ball at the relatively low angle of 30.0 degree above the horizontal. To evaluate this claim, determinethe speed with which this quarterback must throw the ball. Assumethat the ball is launched and caught at the same vertical level andthat air resistance can be ignored. For comparison, a baseballpitcher who can accurately throw a fastball at 45 m/s (100 mph)would be considered exceptional.
1. A researcher is interested in finding a 98% confidence interval for the mean number of times per day that college students text. The study included 144 students who averaged 44.7 texts per day. The standard deviation was 16.5 texts. a. To compute the confidence interval use a ? z t distribution. b. With 98% confidence the population mean number of texts per day is between and texts. c. If many groups of 144 randomly selected members are studied, then a different confidence interval would be produced from each group. About percent of these confidence intervals will contain the true population number of texts per day and about percent will not contain the true population mean number of texts per day. 2. You want to obtain a sample to estimate how much parents spend on their kids birthday parties. Based on previous study, you believe the population standard deviation is approximately $$\displaystyle\sigma={40.4}$$ dollars. You would like to be 90% confident that your estimate is within 1.5 dollar(s) of average spending on the birthday parties. How many parents do you have to sample? n = 3. You want to obtain a sample to estimate a population mean. Based on previous evidence, you believe the population standard deviation is approximately $$\displaystyle\sigma={57.5}$$. You would like to be 95% confident that your estimate is within 0.1 of the true population mean. How large of a sample size is required?
The bulk density of soil is defined as the mass of dry solidsper unit bulk volume. A high bulk density implies a compact soilwith few pores. Bulk density is an important factor in influencing root development, seedling emergence, and aeration. Let X denotethe bulk density of Pima clay loam. Studies show that X is normally distributed with $$\displaystyle\mu={1.5}$$ and $$\displaystyle\sigma={0.2}\frac{{g}}{{c}}{m}^{{3}}$$.
(a) What is thedensity for X? Sketch a graph of the density function. Indicate onthis graph the probability that X lies between 1.1 and 1.9. Findthis probability.
(b) Find the probability that arandomly selected sample of Pima clay loam will have bulk densityless than $$\displaystyle{0.9}\frac{{g}}{{c}}{m}^{{3}}$$.
(c) Would you be surprised if a randomly selected sample of this type of soil has a bulkdensity in excess of $$\displaystyle{2.0}\frac{{g}}{{c}}{m}^{{3}}$$? Explain, based on theprobability of this occurring.
(d) What point has the property that only 10% of the soil samples have bulk density this high orhigher?
(e) What is the moment generating function for X?
A new thermostat has been engineered for the frozen food cases in large supermarkets. Both the old and new thermostats hold temperatures at an average of $$25^{\circ}F$$. However, it is hoped that the new thermostat might be more dependable in the sense that it will hold temperatures closer to $$25^{\circ}F$$. One frozen food case was equipped with the new thermostat, and a random sample of 21 temperature readings gave a sample variance of 5.1. Another similar frozen food case was equipped with the old thermostat, and a random sample of 19 temperature readings gave a sample variance of 12.8. Test the claim that the population variance of the old thermostat temperature readings is larger than that for the new thermostat. Use a $$5\%$$ level of significance. How could your test conclusion relate to the question regarding the dependability of the temperature readings? (Let population 1 refer to data from the old thermostat.)
(a) What is the level of significance?
State the null and alternate hypotheses.
$$H0:?_{1}^{2}=?_{2}^{2},H1:?_{1}^{2}>?_{2}^{2}H0:?_{1}^{2}=?_{2}^{2},H1:?_{1}^{2}\neq?_{2}^{2}H0:?_{1}^{2}=?_{2}^{2},H1:?_{1}^{2}?_{2}^{2},H1:?_{1}^{2}=?_{2}^{2}$$
(b) Find the value of the sample F statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
What are the degrees of freedom?
$$df_{N} = ?$$
$$df_{D} = ?$$
What assumptions are you making about the original distribution?
The populations follow independent normal distributions. We have random samples from each population.The populations follow dependent normal distributions. We have random samples from each population.The populations follow independent normal distributions.The populations follow independent chi-square distributions. We have random samples from each population.
(c) Find or estimate the P-value of the sample test statistic. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis?
At the ? = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.At the ? = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant. At the ? = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.At the ? = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.
(e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application.
Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that the population variance is larger in the old thermostat temperature readings.Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that the population variance is larger in the old thermostat temperature readings. Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that the population variance is larger in the old thermostat temperature readings.Reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that the population variance is larger in the old thermostat temperature readings.
Assume that a ball of charged particles has a uniformly distributednegative charge density except for a narrow radial tunnel throughits center, from the surface on one side to the surface on the opposite side. Also assume that we can position a proton any where along the tunnel or outside the ball. Let $$\displaystyle{F}_{{R}}$$ be the magnitude of the electrostatic force on the proton when it islocated at the ball's surface, at radius R. As a multiple ofR, how far from the surface is there a point where the forcemagnitude is 0.44FR if we move the proton(a) away from the ball and (b) into the tunnel?
The homebuilder’s association reports that $$75\%$$ of home buyers would like a fireplace in their new home. A local builder finds that 20 out of 30 of his customers wanted a fireplace. Using the p value decision rule determine at the 5% level of significance is there is enough evidence from the sample to conclude that the homebuilders report is too high?
If P is too high in $$\displaystyle{H}_{{0}}$$ then what should it be in $$\displaystyle{H}_{{1}}$$?
Also construct a $$\displaystyle{\left({1}-\alpha\right)}\%$$ interval estimate for the true proportion P.
c) Construct and interpret a $$99\%$$ confidence interval estimate for the difference between small firms and large firms concerning the proportion of employee recognition program.