Suppose that a random sample of 50 bottles of a particular brand of cough syrup is selected and the alcohol content of each bottle is determined. Let j: denote the average alcohol content for the population of all bottles of the brand under study. Suppose that the resulting 95% confidence intervals (7-8, 9.6) (a) Would 2 90%% confidence interval calculated from this same sample have been narrower or wider than the glven interval? Explain your reasoning. (b) Consider the following statement: There is 9 95% chance that Is between 7.8 and 9.6. Is this statement correct? Why or why not? (c) Consider the following statement: We can be highly confident that 95% of al bottles ofthis type of cough syrup have an alcohol content that is between 7.8 and 9.6. Is this statement correct? Why or why n

Question
Confidence intervals
Suppose that a random sample of 50 bottles of a particular brand of cough syrup is selected and the alcohol content of each bottle is determined. Let j: denote the average alcohol content for the population of all bottles of the brand under study. Suppose that the resulting 95% confidence intervals (7-8, 9.6)
(a) Would 2 90%% confidence interval calculated from this same sample have been narrower or wider than the glven interval? Explain your reasoning.
(b) Consider the following statement: There is 9 95% chance that Is between 7.8 and 9.6. Is this statement correct? Why or why not?
(c) Consider the following statement: We can be highly confident that 95% of al bottles ofthis type of cough syrup have an alcohol content that is between 7.8 and 9.6. Is this statement correct? Why or why not?

2021-02-24
Given:
The 95% confidence interval of the average alcohol content is (7.8, 9.6)
Sample size $$(n) = 50$$
a) Confidence level decreased to 90%
Using z tables, the critical value for two tailed 95% confidence interval is 1.96 or 90% is 1.645 If critical value decreases, the margin of error also decreases.
Let's understand with an example.
Suppose the sample mean is 4.
Standard error of mean is 2.
Computing confidence intervals
$$\overline{x}-z_{\frac{a}{2}}\times SE, \overline{x}+z_{\frac{a}{2}}\times SE$$
$$95\% : 4 - 1 1.96 \times 2, 4 + 1.96 \times 2$$
$$: 0.08, 7.92$$
$$90\% : 4 - 1.645 \times 2, 4 + 1.645 \times 2$$
$$, 0.71, 7.29$$
Width: upper limit - lower limit
$$95\% : 7.92 - 0.08 = 7.84$$
$$90\% : 7.29 - 0.71 = 6.58$$
Now, it could be seen that the width decreased when the confidence level is decreases. So, 90% confidence interval will be narrower as z critical value decreases.
b) Interpretation of confidence interval
1. If suppose, 100 confidence intervals are constructed with the sample size, then 95 of them would contain the true population parameter.
2. We are 95% confident that the true population parameter lies with the confidence interval. In confidence interval, the interval varies but the population parameter remains fixed.
Therefore, we are 95% confident that the population mean is within 7.8, 9.6 and 5% that it is not.
c)As mentioned earlier, in confidence interval, the population parameter remains fixed and the interval changes.
It does not gives any idea of the number of samples containing the true population parameter. It gives an opinion on the overall population parameter.
Therefore, it is not a correct statement.

Relevant Questions

1. A researcher is interested in finding a 98% confidence interval for the mean number of times per day that college students text. The study included 144 students who averaged 44.7 texts per day. The standard deviation was 16.5 texts. a. To compute the confidence interval use a ? z t distribution. b. With 98% confidence the population mean number of texts per day is between and texts. c. If many groups of 144 randomly selected members are studied, then a different confidence interval would be produced from each group. About percent of these confidence intervals will contain the true population number of texts per day and about percent will not contain the true population mean number of texts per day. 2. You want to obtain a sample to estimate how much parents spend on their kids birthday parties. Based on previous study, you believe the population standard deviation is approximately $$\displaystyle\sigma={40.4}$$ dollars. You would like to be 90% confident that your estimate is within 1.5 dollar(s) of average spending on the birthday parties. How many parents do you have to sample? n = 3. You want to obtain a sample to estimate a population mean. Based on previous evidence, you believe the population standard deviation is approximately $$\displaystyle\sigma={57.5}$$. You would like to be 95% confident that your estimate is within 0.1 of the true population mean. How large of a sample size is required?
Sample of two different models of cars were selected, and the actual speed for each car was determined when the speedometer registered 50 mph. The resulting 95% confidence intervals for mean actual speed were (50.3, 52.7) and (49.8, 50.6) respectively. Assuming that the two sample standard deviations are equal, which confidence interval is based on the larger sample size? Explain your reasoning.
Give a full and correct answer Why is it important that a sample be random and representative when conducting hypothesis testing? Representative Sample vs. Random Sample: An Overview Economists and researchers seek to reduce sampling bias to near negligible levels when employing statistical analysis. Three basic characteristics in a sample reduce the chances of sampling bias and allow economists to make more confident inferences about a general population from the results obtained from the sample analysis or study: * Such samples must be representative of the chosen population studied. * They must be randomly chosen, meaning that each member of the larger population has an equal chance of being chosen. * They must be large enough so as not to skew the results. The optimal size of the sample group depends on the precise degree of confidence required for making an inference. Representative sampling and random sampling are two techniques used to help ensure data is free of bias. These sampling techniques are not mutually exclusive and, in fact, they are often used in tandem to reduce the degree of sampling error in an analysis and allow for greater confidence in making statistical inferences from the sample in regard to the larger group. Representative Sample A representative sample is a group or set chosen from a larger statistical population or group of factors or instances that adequately replicates the larger group according to whatever characteristic or quality is under study. A representative sample parallels key variables and characteristics of the large society under examination. Some examples include sex, age, education level, socioeconomic status (SES), or marital status. A larger sample size reduced sampling error and increases the likelihood that the sample accurately reflects the target population. Random Sample A random sample is a group or set chosen from a larger population or group of factors of instances in a random manner that allows for each member of the larger group to have an equal chance of being chosen. A random sample is meant to be an unbiased representation of the larger population. It is considered a fair way to select a sample from a larger population since every member of the population has an equal chance of getting selected. Special Considerations: People collecting samples need to ensure that bias is minimized. Representative sampling is one of the key methods of achieving this because such samples replicate as closely as possible elements of the larger population under study. This alone, however, is not enough to make the sampling bias negligible. Combining the random sampling technique with the representative sampling method reduces bias further because no specific member of the representative population has a greater chance of selection into the sample than any other. Summarize this article in 250 words.
Several models have been proposed to explain the diversification of life during geological periods. According to Benton (1997), The diversification of marine families in the past 600 million years (Myr) appears to have followed two or three logistic curves, with equilibrium levels that lasted for up to 200 Myr. In contrast, continental organisms clearly show an exponential pattern of diversification, and although it is not clear whether the empirical diversification patterns are real or are artifacts of a poor fossil record, the latter explanation seems unlikely. In this problem, we will investigate three models fordiversification. They are analogous to models for populationgrowth, however, the quantities involved have a differentinterpretation. We denote by N(t) the diversification function,which counts the number of taxa as a function of time, and by rthe intrinsic rate of diversification.
(a) (Exponential Model) This model is described by $$\displaystyle{\frac{{{d}{N}}}{{{\left.{d}{t}\right.}}}}={r}_{{{e}}}{N}\ {\left({8.86}\right)}.$$ Solve (8.86) with the initial condition N(0) at time 0, and show that $$\displaystyle{r}_{{{e}}}$$ can be estimated from $$\displaystyle{r}_{{{e}}}={\frac{{{1}}}{{{t}}}}\ {\ln{\ }}{\left[{\frac{{{N}{\left({t}\right)}}}{{{N}{\left({0}\right)}}}}\right]}\ {\left({8.87}\right)}$$
(b) (Logistic Growth) This model is described by $$\displaystyle{\frac{{{d}{N}}}{{{\left.{d}{t}\right.}}}}={r}_{{{l}}}{N}\ {\left({1}\ -\ {\frac{{{N}}}{{{K}}}}\right)}\ {\left({8.88}\right)}$$ where K is the equilibrium value. Solve (8.88) with the initial condition N(0) at time 0, and show that $$\displaystyle{r}_{{{l}}}$$ can be estimated from $$\displaystyle{r}_{{{l}}}={\frac{{{1}}}{{{t}}}}\ {\ln{\ }}{\left[{\frac{{{K}\ -\ {N}{\left({0}\right)}}}{{{N}{\left({0}\right)}}}}\right]}\ +\ {\frac{{{1}}}{{{t}}}}\ {\ln{\ }}{\left[{\frac{{{N}{\left({t}\right)}}}{{{K}\ -\ {N}{\left({t}\right)}}}}\right]}\ {\left({8.89}\right)}$$ for $$\displaystyle{N}{\left({t}\right)}\ {<}\ {K}.$$
(c) Assume that $$\displaystyle{N}{\left({0}\right)}={1}$$ and $$\displaystyle{N}{\left({10}\right)}={1000}.$$ Estimate $$\displaystyle{r}_{{{e}}}$$ and $$\displaystyle{r}_{{{l}}}$$ for both $$\displaystyle{K}={1001}$$ and $$\displaystyle{K}={10000}.$$
(d) Use your answer in (c) to explain the following quote from Stanley (1979): There must be a general tendency for calculated values of $$\displaystyle{\left[{r}\right]}$$ to represent underestimates of exponential rates,because some radiation will have followed distinctly sigmoid paths during the interval evaluated.
(e) Explain why the exponential model is a good approximation to the logistic model when $$\displaystyle\frac{{N}}{{K}}$$ is small compared with 1.
The presidential election is coming. Five survey companies (A, B, C, D, and E) are doing survey to forecast whether or not the Republican candidate will win the election. Each company randomly selects a sample size between 1000 and 1500 people. All of these five companies interview people over the phone during Tuesday and Wednesday. The interviewee will be asked if he or she is 18 years old or above and U.S. citizen who are registered to vote. If yes, the interviewee will be further asked: will you vote for the Republican candidate? On Thursday morning, these five companies announce their survey sample and results at the same time on the newspapers. The results show that a% (from A), b% (from B), c% (from C), d% (from D), and e% (from E) will support the Republican candidate. The margin of error is plus/minus 3% for all results. Suppose that $$\displaystyle{c}{>}{a}{>}{d}{>}{e}{>}{b}$$. When you see these results from the newspapers, can you exactly identify which result(s) is (are) not reliable and not accurate? That is, can you identify which estimation interval(s) does (do) not include the true population proportion? If you can, explain why you can, if no, explain why you cannot and what information you need to identify. Discuss and explain your reasons. You must provide your statistical analysis and reasons.
$$\displaystyle{b}{e}{g}\in{\left\lbrace{a}{r}{r}{a}{y}\right\rbrace}{\left\lbrace{\left|{c}\right|}{c}{\mid}\right\rbrace}{h}{l}\in{e}&{H}{o}{u}{s}{e}{w}{\quad\text{or}\quad}{k}{H}{o}{u}{r}{s}\backslash{h}{l}\in{e}{G}{e}{n}{d}{e}{r}&{S}{a}\mp\le\ {S}{i}{z}{e}&{M}{e}{a}{n}&{S}{\tan{{d}}}{a}{r}{d}\ {D}{e}{v}{i}{a}{t}{i}{o}{n}\backslash{h}{l}\in{e}{W}{o}{m}{e}{n}&{473473}&{33.133}{.1}&{14.214}{.2}\backslash{h}{l}\in{e}{M}{e}{n}&{488488}&{18.618}{.6}&{15.715}{.7}\backslash{e}{n}{d}{\left\lbrace{a}{r}{r}{a}{y}\right\rbrace}$$ a. Based on this​ study, calculate how many more hours per​ week, on the​ average, women spend on housework than men. b. Find the standard error for comparing the means. What factor causes the standard error to be small compared to the sample standard deviations for the two​ groups? The cause the standard error to be small compared to the sample standard deviations for the two groups. c. Calculate the​ 95% confidence interval comparing the population means for women Interpret the result including the relevance of 0 being within the interval or not. The​ 95% confidence interval for ​$$\displaystyle{\left(\mu_{{W}}-\mu_{{M}}​\right)}$$ is: (Round to two decimal places as​ needed.) The values in the​ 95% confidence interval are less than 0, are greater than 0, include 0, which implies that the population mean for women could be the same as is less than is greater than the population mean for men. d. State the assumptions upon which the interval in part c is based. Upon which assumptions below is the interval​ based? Select all that apply. A.The standard deviations of the two populations are approximately equal. B.The population distribution for each group is approximately normal. C.The samples from the two groups are independent. D.The samples from the two groups are random.
Based on a sample of 80 recent Masters graduates (40 male and 40 female), the following information was made available regarding their annual salaries. The standard deviation of salaries for the male graduates was $40,000 and that for the female graduates was$25,000.
a) For the male graduates, what is the probability of obtaining a sample mean salary within $10,000 of the population mean? b) Consider the same question in (a) but for the female graduates. In which case, males or females, do we have a higher probability of obtaining a sample estimate within$10,000 of the population mean? Why?
c) Suppose that the sample mean salary of females is \$125,000. Develop a $$95\%$$ confidence interval estimate for the mean salary of all female graduates
In there a relationship between confidence intervals and two-tailed hypothesis tests? The answer is yes. Let c be the level of confidence used to construct a confidence interval from sample data. Let * be the level of significance for a two-tailed hypothesis test. The following statement applies to hypothesis tests of the mean:
For a two-tailed hypothesis test with level of significance a and null hypothesis $$H_{0} : \mu = k$$ we reject Ho whenever k falls outside the $$c = 1 — \alpha$$ confidence interval for $$\mu$$ based on the sample data. When A falls within the $$c = 1 — \alpha$$ confidence interval. we do reject $$H_{0}$$.
For a one-tailed hypothesis test with level of significance Ho : $$\mu = k$$ and null hypothesiswe reject Ho whenever A falls outsidethe $$c = 1 — 2\alpha$$ confidence interval for p based on the sample data. When A falls within the $$c = 1 — 2\alpha$$ confidence interval, we do not reject $$H_{0}$$.
A corresponding relationship between confidence intervals and two-tailed hypothesis tests is also valid for other parameters, such as p, $$\mu1 — \mu_2,\ and\ p_{1}, - p_{2}$$.
(a) Consider the hypotheses $$H_{0} : \mu_{1} — \mu_{2} = O\ and\ H_{1} : \mu_{1} — \mu_{2} \neq$$ Suppose a 95% confidence interval for $$\mu_{1} — \mu_{2}$$ contains only positive numbers. Should you reject the null hypothesis when $$\alpha = 0.05$$? Why or why not?
You are interested in finding a 95% confidence interval for the mean number of visits for physical therapy patients. The data below show the number of visits for 14 randomly selected physical therapy patients. Round answers to 3 decimal places where possible.
$$9 6 10 15 19 6 23 26 19 16 11 25 16 11$$
a. To compute the confidence interval use a t or z distribution.
b. With 95% confidence the population mean number of visits per physical therapy patient is between ___ and ___ visits.
c. If many groups of 14 randomly selected physical therapy patients are studied, then a different confidence interval would be produced from each group. About ___ percent of these confidence intervals will contain the true population mean number of visits per patient and about ___ percent will not contain the true population mean number of visits per patient.
The table below shows the number of people for three different race groups who were shot by police that were either armed or unarmed. These values are very close to the exact numbers. They have been changed slightly for each student to get a unique problem.
Suspect was Armed:
Black - 543
White - 1176
Hispanic - 378
Total - 2097
Suspect was unarmed:
Black - 60
White - 67
Hispanic - 38
Total - 165
Total:
Black - 603
White - 1243
Hispanic - 416
Total - 2262
Give your answer as a decimal to at least three decimal places.
a) What percent are Black?
b) What percent are Unarmed?
c) In order for two variables to be Independent of each other, the P $$(A and B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) P(A and B) = P(A) \cdot P(B).$$
This just means that the percentage of times that both things happen equals the individual percentages multiplied together (Only if they are Independent of each other).
Therefore, if a person's race is independent of whether they were killed being unarmed then the percentage of black people that are killed while being unarmed should equal the percentage of blacks times the percentage of Unarmed. Let's check this. Multiply your answer to part a (percentage of blacks) by your answer to part b (percentage of unarmed).
Remember, the previous answer is only correct if the variables are Independent.
d) Now let's get the real percent that are Black and Unarmed by using the table?
If answer c is "significantly different" than answer d, then that means that there could be a different percentage of unarmed people being shot based on race. We will check this out later in the course.
Let's compare the percentage of unarmed shot for each race.
e) What percent are White and Unarmed?
f) What percent are Hispanic and Unarmed?
If you compare answers d, e and f it shows the highest percentage of unarmed people being shot is most likely white.
Why is that?
This is because there are more white people in the United States than any other race and therefore there are likely to be more white people in the table. Since there are more white people in the table, there most likely would be more white and unarmed people shot by police than any other race. This pulls the percentage of white and unarmed up. In addition, there most likely would be more white and armed shot by police. All the percentages for white people would be higher, because there are more white people. For example, the table contains very few Hispanic people, and the percentage of people in the table that were Hispanic and unarmed is the lowest percentage.
Think of it this way. If you went to a college that was 90% female and 10% male, then females would most likely have the highest percentage of A grades. They would also most likely have the highest percentage of B, C, D and F grades
The correct way to compare is "conditional probability". Conditional probability is getting the probability of something happening, given we are dealing with just the people in a particular group.
g) What percent of blacks shot and killed by police were unarmed?
h) What percent of whites shot and killed by police were unarmed?
i) What percent of Hispanics shot and killed by police were unarmed?
You can see by the answers to part g and h, that the percentage of blacks that were unarmed and killed by police is approximately twice that of whites that were unarmed and killed by police.
j) Why do you believe this is happening?
Do a search on the internet for reasons why blacks are more likely to be killed by police. Read a few articles on the topic. Write your response using the articles as references. Give the websites used in your response. Your answer should be several sentences long with at least one website listed. This part of this problem will be graded after the due date.
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