# An oil company purchased an option on land in Alaska. Preliminary geologic studies assigned the following prior probabilities. PP( text{high-quality oil})=.50 P(text{medium-quality oil} )=.20 P( text{no oil} )=.30 a. What is the probability of finding oil? b. After 200 feet of drilling on the first well, a soil test is taken. The probabilities of finding the particular type of soil identified by the test follow. P( text{soil | high-quality oil} )=.20 P( text{soil | medium-quality oil})=.80 P( text{soil | no oil})=.20 How should the firm interpret the soil test? What are the revised probabilities, and what is the new probability of finding oil?

Question
Polynomial arithmetic
An oil company purchased an option on land in Alaska. Preliminary geologic studies assigned the following prior probabilities.
$$PP( \text{high-quality oil})=.50 P(\text{medium-quality oil} )=.20 P( \text{no oil} )=.30$$
a. What is the probability of finding oil?
b. After 200 feet of drilling on the first well, a soil test is taken. The probabilities of finding the particular type of soil identified by the test follow.
$$P( \text{soil | high-quality oil} )=.20 P( \text{soil | medium-quality oil})=.80 P( \text{soil | no oil})=.20$$
How should the firm interpret the soil test? What are the revised probabilities, and what is the new probability of finding oil?

2020-12-30
Given:
$$P( \text{no oil}) = 0.30$$
a. Complement rule:
$$P( \text{not} A ) = 1 - P(A)$$
Use the complement rule:
$$P(\text{oil}) = 1 - P(\text{no oil}) = 1 - 0.30 = 0.70$$
b. We are most likely to find the type of soil, when we have found medium-quality oil.
The probabilities remain unchanged> becase the given probability only effect the probability of finding soil and not the probability of finding oil.

### Relevant Questions

The bulk density of soil is defined as the mass of dry solidsper unit bulk volume. A high bulk density implies a compact soilwith few pores. Bulk density is an important factor in influencing root development, seedling emergence, and aeration. Let X denotethe bulk density of Pima clay loam. Studies show that X is normally distributed with $$\displaystyle\mu={1.5}$$ and $$\displaystyle\sigma={0.2}\frac{{g}}{{c}}{m}^{{3}}$$.
(a) What is thedensity for X? Sketch a graph of the density function. Indicate onthis graph the probability that X lies between 1.1 and 1.9. Findthis probability.
(b) Find the probability that arandomly selected sample of Pima clay loam will have bulk densityless than $$\displaystyle{0.9}\frac{{g}}{{c}}{m}^{{3}}$$.
(c) Would you be surprised if a randomly selected sample of this type of soil has a bulkdensity in excess of $$\displaystyle{2.0}\frac{{g}}{{c}}{m}^{{3}}$$? Explain, based on theprobability of this occurring.
(d) What point has the property that only 10% of the soil samples have bulk density this high orhigher?
(e) What is the moment generating function for X?
A 10 kg objectexperiences a horizontal force which causes it to accelerate at 5 $$\displaystyle\frac{{m}}{{s}^{{2}}}$$, moving it a distance of 20 m, horizontally.How much work is done by the force?
A ball is connected to a rope and swung around in uniform circular motion.The tension in the rope is measured at 10 N and the radius of thecircle is 1 m. How much work is done in one revolution around the circle?
A 10 kg weight issuspended in the air by a strong cable. How much work is done, perunit time, in suspending the weight?
A 5 kg block is moved up a 30 degree incline by a force of 50 N, parallel to the incline. The coefficient of kinetic friction between the block and the incline is .25. How much work is done by the 50 N force in moving the block a distance of 10 meters? What is the total workdone on the block over the same distance?
What is the kinetic energy of a 2 kg ball that travels a distance of 50 metersin 5 seconds?
A ball is thrown vertically with a velocity of 25 m/s. How high does it go? What is its velocity when it reaches a height of 25 m?
A ball with enough speed can complete a vertical loop. With what speed must the ballenter the loop to complete a 2 m loop? (Keep in mind that the velocity of the ball is not constant throughout the loop).
We will now add support for register-memory ALU operations to the classic five-stage RISC pipeline. To offset this increase in complexity, all memory addressing will be restricted to register indirect (i.e., all addresses are simply a value held in a register; no offset or displacement may be added to the register value). For example, the register-memory instruction add x4, x5, (x1) means add the contents of register x5 to the contents of the memory location with address equal to the value in register x1 and put the sum in register x4. Register-register ALU operations are unchanged. The following items apply to the integer RISC pipeline:
a. List a rearranged order of the five traditional stages of the RISC pipeline that will support register-memory operations implemented exclusively by register indirect addressing.
b. Describe what new forwarding paths are needed for the rearranged pipeline by stating the source, destination, and information transferred on each needed new path.
c. For the reordered stages of the RISC pipeline, what new data hazards are created by this addressing mode? Give an instruction sequence illustrating each new hazard.
d. List all of the ways that the RISC pipeline with register-memory ALU operations can have a different instruction count for a given program than the original RISC pipeline. Give a pair of specific instruction sequences, one for the original pipeline and one for the rearranged pipeline, to illustrate each way.
Hint for (d): Give a pair of instruction sequences where the RISC pipeline has “more” instructions than the reg-mem architecture. Also give a pair of instruction sequences where the RISC pipeline has “fewer” instructions than the reg-mem architecture.
An airplane propeller is 2.08 m in length (from tip to tip) and has a mass of 117 kg. When the airpline's engine is first started, it applies a constant torque of $$\displaystyle{1950}\ {N}\cdot{m}$$ to the propeller, which starts from rest.
a) What is the angular acceleration of the propeller? Model the propeller as a slender rod.
b) What is the propeller's angular speed after making 5.00 revolutions?
c) How much work is done by the engine during the first 5.00 revolutions?
e) What is the instantaneous power output of the motor at the instant that the propeller has turne through 5.00 revolutions?
Two oppositely charged but otherwise identical conducting plates of area 2.50 square centimeters are separated by a dielectric 1.80 millimeters thick, with a dielectric constant of K=3.60. The resultant electric field in the dielectric is $$\displaystyle{1.20}\times{10}^{{6}}$$ volts per meter.
Compute the magnitude of the charge per unit area $$\displaystyle\sigma$$ on the conducting plate.
$$\displaystyle\sigma={\frac{{{c}}}{{{m}^{{2}}}}}$$
Compute the magnitude of the charge per unit area $$\displaystyle\sigma_{{1}}$$ on the surfaces of the dielectric.
$$\displaystyle\sigma_{{1}}={\frac{{{c}}}{{{m}^{{2}}}}}$$
Find the total electric-field energy U stored in the capacitor.
u=J

When a gas is taken from a to c along the curved path in the figure (Figure 1) , the work done by the gas is W = -40 J and the heat added to the gas is Q = -140 J . Along path abc, the work done by the gas is W = -50 J . (That is, 50 J of work is done on the gas.)
I keep on missing Part D. The answer for part D is not -150,150,-155,108,105( was close but it said not quite check calculations)
Part A
What is Q for path abc?
Express your answer to two significant figures and include the appropriate units.
Part B
f Pc=1/2Pb, what is W for path cda?
Express your answer to two significant figures and include the appropriate units.
Part C
What is Q for path cda?
Express your answer to two significant figures and include the appropriate units.
Part D
What is Ua?Uc?
Express your answer to two significant figures and include the appropriate units.
Part E
If Ud?Uc=42J, what is Q for path da?
Express your answer to two significant figures and include the appropriate units.
The dominant form of drag experienced by vehicles (bikes, cars,planes, etc.) at operating speeds is called form drag. Itincreases quadratically with velocity (essentially because theamount of air you run into increase with v and so does the amount of force you must exert on each small volume of air). Thus
$$\displaystyle{F}_{{{d}{r}{u}{g}}}={C}_{{d}}{A}{v}^{{2}}$$
where A is the cross-sectional area of the vehicle and $$\displaystyle{C}_{{d}}$$ is called the coefficient of drag.
Part A:
Consider a vehicle moving with constant velocity $$\displaystyle\vec{{{v}}}$$. Find the power dissipated by form drag.
Express your answer in terms of $$\displaystyle{C}_{{d}},{A},$$ and speed v.
Part B:
A certain car has an engine that provides a maximum power $$\displaystyle{P}_{{0}}$$. Suppose that the maximum speed of thee car, $$\displaystyle{v}_{{0}}$$, is limited by a drag force proportional to the square of the speed (as in the previous part). The car engine is now modified, so that the new power $$\displaystyle{P}_{{1}}$$ is 10 percent greater than the original power ($$\displaystyle{P}_{{1}}={110}\%{P}_{{0}}$$).
Assume the following:
The top speed is limited by air drag.
The magnitude of the force of air drag at these speeds is proportional to the square of the speed.
By what percentage, $$\displaystyle{\frac{{{v}_{{1}}-{v}_{{0}}}}{{{v}_{{0}}}}}$$, is the top speed of the car increased?
Express the percent increase in top speed numerically to two significant figures.
1. Find each of the requested values for a population with a mean of $$? = 40$$, and a standard deviation of $$? = 8$$ A. What is the z-score corresponding to $$X = 52?$$ B. What is the X value corresponding to $$z = - 0.50?$$ C. If all of the scores in the population are transformed into z-scores, what will be the values for the mean and standard deviation for the complete set of z-scores? D. What is the z-score corresponding to a sample mean of $$M=42$$ for a sample of $$n = 4$$ scores? E. What is the z-scores corresponding to a sample mean of $$M= 42$$ for a sample of $$n = 6$$ scores? 2. True or false: a. All normal distributions are symmetrical b. All normal distributions have a mean of 1.0 c. All normal distributions have a standard deviation of 1.0 d. The total area under the curve of all normal distributions is equal to 1 3. Interpret the location, direction, and distance (near or far) of the following zscores: $$a. -2.00 b. 1.25 c. 3.50 d. -0.34$$ 4. You are part of a trivia team and have tracked your team’s performance since you started playing, so you know that your scores are normally distributed with $$\mu = 78$$ and $$\sigma = 12$$. Recently, a new person joined the team, and you think the scores have gotten better. Use hypothesis testing to see if the average score has improved based on the following 8 weeks’ worth of score data: $$82, 74, 62, 68, 79, 94, 90, 81, 80$$. 5. You get hired as a server at a local restaurant, and the manager tells you that servers’ tips are $42 on average but vary about $$12 (\mu = 42, \sigma = 12)$$. You decide to track your tips to see if you make a different amount, but because this is your first job as a server, you don’t know if you will make more or less in tips. After working 16 shifts, you find that your average nightly amount is$44.50 from tips. Test for a difference between this value and the population mean at the $$\alpha = 0.05$$ level of significance.